ProBit Bits — ProBit Global’s Weekly Blockchain Bits Vol. 134

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 Bitcoin's Rocky Road: Bracing for a $20K Plunge?

Bitcoin is facing a turbulent Christmas week, with analysts warning of a potential price crash that could send it tumbling below $80,000. Several factors are contributing to this bearish outlook, including key technical indicators, low holiday trading activity, and macroeconomic headwinds.

A "bearish engulfing" pattern on the weekly chart suggests that Bitcoin's recent upward momentum has stalled, potentially signaling the start of a multi-week correction. Some analysts are even predicting a drop to $74,000, revisiting Bitcoin's previous all-time high from earlier this year.

Adding to the uncertainty is the holiday season, which typically brings lower trading volumes and increased volatility. This reduced liquidity can amplify price swings, making Bitcoin more susceptible to sharp moves in either direction.

Macroeconomic factors are also weighing on Bitcoin's price. The recent Federal Reserve meeting signaled a less accommodative monetary policy, potentially reducing liquidity in the markets. Additionally, concerns about a global money supply contraction could further dampen investor sentiment and trigger a sell-off in risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Despite the gloomy outlook, some indicators suggest that long-term investors might find this dip a buying opportunity. A dollar-cost averaging tool indicates that Bitcoin's current price is favorable for accumulating more coins.

While social media sentiment reflects fear and uncertainty, some analysts see this as a contrarian signal, suggesting that a market rebound could be on the horizon. However, with multiple headwinds converging, Bitcoin investors should brace themselves for a potentially bumpy ride in the coming weeks.

 Russia Tightens Grip on Crypto Mining: Bans and Seasonal Restrictions Imposed

Russia is taking a firm stance on cryptocurrency mining, implementing a mix of bans and seasonal restrictions across various regions. Starting in 2025, ten regions will face a complete ban on crypto mining for six years, impacting both individual miners and mining pools.

This move comes as Russia seeks to manage its energy resources and prevent potential blackouts, particularly during peak consumption periods. While some regions face outright bans, key mining hubs like Irkutsk will instead see seasonal restrictions, primarily during the winter months.

This approach reflects a more nuanced strategy compared to earlier proposals that sought to ban mining in Irkutsk entirely. The region is home to major mining operations like BitRiver, which rely on its cheap electricity.

These new regulations align with Russia's recently enacted cryptocurrency mining laws, demonstrating the government's increasing involvement in shaping the country's crypto landscape. While some miners may be impacted by these restrictions, the decision to allow continued, albeit regulated, mining in key regions suggests a recognition of the industry's potential economic benefits.

As Russia navigates the complexities of balancing energy concerns with the growth of the crypto mining sector, these regulations will likely have a lasting impact on the country's crypto landscape.

 North Korean Hackers Steal $300 Million in Bitcoin: A Sophisticated Heist Exposed

The FBI and international law enforcement agencies have revealed details of a massive Bitcoin heist orchestrated by North Korea-linked hackers.  In May, these cybercriminals targeted the Japanese crypto exchange DMM, making off with over $300 million worth of Bitcoin.  

The hackers employed sophisticated social engineering tactics to infiltrate the exchange.  Posing as recruiters on LinkedIn, they tricked an employee at a crypto wallet company into opening a malicious link. This gave them access to sensitive information, which they then used to manipulate a transaction request from DMM, diverting the funds to their own wallets.  

This elaborate scheme highlights the growing threat of cybercrime in the crypto space.  Hackers are becoming increasingly sophisticated, using social engineering and other tactics to exploit vulnerabilities and steal digital assets.  

The FBI and its partners are committed to exposing and disrupting these illicit activities, which often fund the North Korean regime. This case serves as a reminder of the importance of cybersecurity awareness and the need for robust security measures to protect against evolving cyber threats.

 Legal Battles Are Brewing In The Crypto World: Binance Australia Sued, Hex Founder Wanted

The crypto world is facing a wave of legal challenges, with Binance Australia and the founder of Hex, Richard Heart, finding themselves in the crosshairs of authorities.

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has sued Binance Australia's derivatives trading platform, alleging that it misclassified hundreds of retail customers as wholesale investors. This misclassification potentially deprived these customers of crucial legal protections designed for everyday investors. ASIC criticized Binance Australia's actions as "woefully inadequate," highlighting the need for proper consumer safeguards in the crypto industry.

Meanwhile, Interpol has issued a Red Notice for Richard Heart, the founder of the cryptocurrency Hex. This international arrest warrant stems from allegations of tax fraud and assault. Heart is also listed on Europe's most-wanted fugitives list, facing serious accusations that could land him behind bars.

These cases underscore the growing legal scrutiny of the cryptocurrency industry. As regulators worldwide grapple with how to oversee this evolving landscape, both companies and individuals are being held accountable for their actions. These legal battles serve as a reminder that the crypto world is not immune to the long arm of the law.

 Crypto Markets Face a Festive Freeze: Price Analysis for the Holiday Season

As the holiday season descends, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing a chill, with most major coins facing downward pressure. Let's take a look at the technical outlook for some of the leading cryptocurrencies:

Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin is struggling to regain its footing after a recent dip, with the bears pushing it towards the crucial $90,000 support level. If this level breaks, a further decline towards $85,000 is possible. However, strong buying activity is expected around these levels, potentially preventing a deeper crash. On the upside, a break above the 20-day moving average could signal a renewed push towards its all-time high.

Ethereum (ETH): Ethereum is also facing headwinds, with sellers gaining the upper hand. The $3,000 mark is a critical support level for Ethereum, and a break below this could lead to further losses. However, buyers are expected to defend this zone fiercely. A recovery will likely face resistance at the 20-day moving average, with a break above this level needed to regain bullish momentum.

XRP: XRP is caught in a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, with its price hovering around the 20-day moving average. A breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern could dictate its next move. An upward break could propel XRP towards $2.91, while a downward break could lead to a decline towards the 50-day moving average.

Solana (SOL): Solana is showing signs of weakness, with its price testing a crucial uptrend line. A break below this support could trigger a significant decline towards $155 and potentially even $133. Buyers need to push the price above the moving averages to regain control and prevent further losses.

Binance Coin (BNB): BNB is attempting a relief rally after a recent dip, but it faces resistance at the 20-day moving average. A break above this level could signal a continuation of its range-bound trading, while a failure to break through could lead to a drop towards $550.

Dogecoin (DOGE): Dogecoin is facing strong selling pressure, with its price trending downwards. The $0.27 and $0.23 levels are key support zones to watch. A recovery will require a break above the 20-day moving average, which currently acts as resistance.  

Cardano (ADA): Cardano has formed a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern, suggesting further downside potential.The $0.70 level is a critical support to watch, with a break below this potentially leading to further losses. A recovery will require a surge above the 20-day moving average.  

Avalanche (AVAX): Avalanche is also facing bearish pressure, with its price trading below key moving averages. The $33.60 level is a crucial support to watch, with a break below this potentially leading to a decline towards $30.50. A recovery will require a break above the 20-day moving average, opening the door for a potential rally towards $51.  

Overall, the crypto market is showing signs of weakness as the holiday season nears its peak. Traders are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor key support and resistance levels to navigate this uncertain period.

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